Purpose of Role
The Demand Planner is responsible for all SAP APO statistical forecasting and data integrity activities. The planner will create baseline forecast models to support the monthly S&OP process. The demand planner will own and drive statistical forecast accuracy performance to achieve targets. They will collaborate with the DP Business Partner on history adjustments to drive robust statistical forecasts. The demand planner is responsible for data integrity, ensuring that the weekly forecast sent to Supply is applied to the correct sku/location.
Top Accountabilities
Generate base line statistical demand forecast for at least 18 months rolling:
Pro-actively works with the Demand Manager and the DP Business Partner, owning the statistical forecast and highlighting deviations to the shipment and/or depletion trends.
Use and maintain the APO software as the primary forecasting system tool
Collaborate with DP Business Partner on all forecast history cleaning activities including documenting adjustments and assumptions (market trends, seasonality, promotions).
Maintain statistical parameters for “best fit” model & generate a baseline at least 18 month rolling.
Maintain APO master data including CVC creation, disaggregation factors and attributes.
Analyse outliers through appropriate reports and make corrections.
Support scenario planning for promotions, innovation and major events (duty, economics change, etc.) through stat analysis.
Provide reports and insights to stakeholders to maximise the use of baseline forecast.
Provide key input to S&OP/IBP process
Participate where relevant in S&OP process to align upon consensus forecast.
Review statistical input to Strategic Planning and AOP process and challenge projected growth based on historical trends.
Collaborate with Demand Business Partners to conduct root cause analysis to identify drivers of forecast error and work together to take the necessary corrective action to drive continuous improvement in forecast accuracy and bias performance.
Continuously improve statistical forecasting method:
Test and implement new models
Implement best practices
Support system developments
Qualifications and Experience Required
Skills and Capabilities
Baseline understanding of the end-to-end Supply Chain Planning processes; Supply Planning, Distribution Requirements Planning, Inventory Planning, Conversion, Logistics, Procurement and Customer Service
Demonstrated proficiency in statistics and/or forecasting methodologies with an understanding of their financial and operational impacts
Strong analytical, organizational and decision making skills
Good communication skills – verbal, written and presentation.
Proficient in MS applications e.g. Excel, Word, PowerPoint, Access, Outlook
Experience
3 years’ experience working within the Demand and/or Supply Chain Planning process; Consumer Packaged Goods Industry preferred
Experience with advanced planning software with Supply Planning (SAP APO system and Business Intelligence/BW )
Qualifications
Bachelor’s degree in appropriate supply chain, mathematical, engineering, or business degree.
APICS CPIM / CSCP or equivalent desirable.
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